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Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
45% 25% 30%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
29.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 45.0% 2.22
Draw 25.1% 3.99
Udinese 29.9% 3.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.26
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.32
Over 2.5 58.4% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.6% 2.40
Over 3.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 3.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 4.5 19.0% 5.26
Under 4.5 81.0% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.9% 1.64
No 39.1% 2.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 70.1% 1.43
Sassuolo / Udinese 74.9% 1.33
Draw / Udinese 55.0% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
5.8
4.4
1.9
0.7
0.2
1
7.5
11.6
7.3
3.3
1.1
0.3
2
6.9
9.2
6.2
2.8
0.9
0.3
3
3.9
5.2
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
1.6
2.2
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.