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Saturday 30 September 2017, 19:00 Dacia Arena Full time
4–0
HT 1–0
39% 28% 34%
Home win
38.6%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 38.6% 2.59
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Sampdoria 33.6% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.35
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.88
Over 2.5 48.4% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.6% 3.75
Under 3.5 73.4% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.06
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86
No 46.2% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 66.4% 1.51
Udinese / Sampdoria 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Sampdoria 61.4% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
8.5
5.8
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
9.2
13.3
7.8
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
6.8
8.5
5.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
3.1
3.8
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.