Sunday 17 September 2017, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
55%
25%
20%
Home win
55.2%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
19.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Udinese | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Udinese | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
5.7
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
11.9
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
9.8
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AC Milan
0-3
Udinese
Sep 2025
Udinese
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2025
Udinese
0-4
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Udinese
Jan 2024
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Nov 2023
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.