Sunday 28 May 2017, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
29%
25%
47%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
46.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Cagliari / AC Milan | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
7.3
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.3
|
9.3
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
7.1
|
6.3
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
3.2
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
1-2
Cagliari
Jan 2026
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan
Jan 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Nov 2024
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
May 2024
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Sep 2023
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.