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Sunday 21 May 2017, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
6–2
HT 4–1
52% 23% 25%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
25.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 51.9% 1.93
Draw 22.9% 4.36
Cagliari 25.2% 3.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.82
Over 1.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.1% 6.64
Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 3.5 42.4% 2.36
Under 3.5 57.6% 1.73
Over 4.5 24.1% 4.15
Under 4.5 75.9% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.1% 1.56
No 35.9% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 74.8% 1.34
Sassuolo / Cagliari 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Cagliari 48.1% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
4.3
3.2
1.4
0.5
0.1
1
6.6
10.2
6.4
2.9
1.0
0.3
2
7.1
9.5
6.4
2.8
0.9
0.3
3
4.7
6.3
4.2
1.9
0.6
0.2
4
2.3
3.1
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.