Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
28%
31%
41%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
40.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 14.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Empoli / Sassuolo | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
13.1
|
8.4
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
14.1
|
8.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
6.3
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2024
Sassuolo
2-3
Empoli
Nov 2023
Empoli
3-4
Sassuolo
Apr 2023
Sassuolo
2-1
Empoli
Nov 2022
Empoli
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2022
Empoli
1-5
Sassuolo
Oct 2021
Sassuolo
1-2
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.