Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
67%
23%
10%
Home win
67.0%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Empoli | 9.9% | 10.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| No | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Empoli | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.4
|
10.0
|
2.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.8
|
8.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.3
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Empoli
0-2
AC Milan
Nov 2024
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Mar 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Jan 2024
Empoli
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2023
AC Milan
0-0
Empoli
Oct 2022
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.