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Friday 10 March 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
60% 25% 15%
Home win
59.9%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 59.9% 1.67
Draw 24.9% 4.01
AC Milan 15.2% 6.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.64
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.94
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.2% 2.31
No 56.8% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 84.8% 1.18
Juventus / AC Milan 75.1% 1.33
Draw / AC Milan 40.1% 2.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
5.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
14.2
11.6
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
9.3
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
7.2
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.