Saturday 4 March 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
52%
28%
19%
Home win
52.5%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
19.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Chievo | 19.4% | 5.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 13.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Chievo | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
7.6
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.8
|
12.9
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
8.8
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
1-2
AC Milan
Oct 2018
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Mar 2018
AC Milan
3-2
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
1-4
AC Milan
Oct 2016
Chievo
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.