Sunday 5 February 2017, 13:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
54%
27%
19%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
19.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Sampdoria | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
6.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.5
|
12.5
|
4.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.3
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
AC Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Sep 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Feb 2022
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2021
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan
Apr 2021
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.