Sunday 8 January 2017, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
72%
16%
12%
Home win
71.6%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
12.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.0% | 6.26 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 12.5% | 8.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.1% | 10.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| No | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Cagliari | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
6.5
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.7
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.0
|
5.7
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
1-2
Cagliari
Jan 2026
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan
Jan 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Nov 2024
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
May 2024
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Sep 2023
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.