Thursday 22 December 2016, 21:45
Sant'Elia
Full time
40%
23%
37%
Home win
40.3%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
36.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 31.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.7% | 8.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| No | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Sassuolo | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
4.1
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
9.2
|
7.7
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
8.1
|
7.2
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
5.0
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
2.3
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Cagliari
Oct 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Sassuolo
May 2024
Sassuolo
0-2
Cagliari
Dec 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Sassuolo
Apr 2022
Cagliari
1-0
Sassuolo
Nov 2021
Sassuolo
2-2
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.