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Monday 28 November 2016, 20:00 Stadio San Paolo Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
71% 17% 12%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
11.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 71.3% 1.40
Draw 16.9% 5.92
Sassuolo 11.8% 8.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.32
Over 1.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.3% 8.16
Over 2.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 3.5 48.2% 2.07
Under 3.5 51.8% 1.93
Over 4.5 29.1% 3.43
Under 4.5 70.9% 1.41

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70
No 41.3% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 88.2% 1.13
Napoli / Sassuolo 83.1% 1.20
Draw / Sassuolo 28.7% 3.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
2.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
6.7
7.6
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
9.3
9.2
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
8.0
8.0
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
4
5.2
5.2
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
2.7
2.7
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.