Saturday 29 October 2016, 21:45
Allianz Stadium
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
20.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Napoli | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Juventus / Napoli | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
4.9
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
11.1
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.9
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.3
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Juventus
3-0
Napoli
Dec 2025
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Jan 2025
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Sep 2024
Juventus
0-0
Napoli
Mar 2024
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Dec 2023
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.