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Saturday 15 October 2016, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
77% 16% 7%
Home win
76.9%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
7.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 76.9% 1.30
Draw 16.0% 6.25
Udinese 7.1% 13.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.10
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.23
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.27
Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.9% 1.56
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.24
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 92.9% 1.08
Juventus / Udinese 84.0% 1.19
Draw / Udinese 23.2% 4.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
11.2
7.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.1
8.7
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.3
7.0
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.8
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.