Skip to content
Wednesday 26 October 2016, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 2–0
67% 21% 11%
Home win
67.2%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
11.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 67.2% 1.49
Draw 21.3% 4.69
Sampdoria 11.5% 8.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.26
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 4.00
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.60
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.30
No 56.6% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 88.5% 1.13
Juventus / Sampdoria 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Sampdoria 32.8% 3.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
4.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
13.2
10.0
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
9.4
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.0
6.2
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
4.4
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.