Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
44%
33%
23%
Home win
44.5%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
23.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Palermo | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.8% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.4% | 8.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.3% | 22.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.7% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Palermo | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Palermo | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.8
|
10.4
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.5
|
13.7
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|