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Sunday 26 February 2017, 13:30 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
26% 29% 45%
Home win
25.9%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
45.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 25.9% 3.86
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Sampdoria 45.5% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 10.02
Over 1.5 69.6% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.4% 3.29
Over 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 3.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.66
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.08
No 52.0% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 54.5% 1.83
Palermo / Sampdoria 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Sampdoria 74.1% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
12.1
9.0
4.2
1.5
0.4
1
8.4
13.5
8.9
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
4.5
6.3
4.4
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.5
2.1
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.