Sunday 19 February 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
57%
23%
20%
Home win
57.0%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
20.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Cagliari | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
4.4
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
10.5
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.9
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.6
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
Cagliari
Oct 2021
Cagliari
3-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Cagliari
Nov 2020
Cagliari
2-0
Sampdoria
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Cagliari
Dec 2019
Cagliari
4-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.