Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
68%
18%
14%
Home win
67.8%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
14.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 14.0% | 7.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.7% | 7.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Cagliari | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
8.1
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.5
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
7.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Cagliari
3-2
Atalanta
Dec 2025
Atalanta
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta
Apr 2024
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Sep 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.