Sunday 22 January 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
82%
11%
7%
Home win
81.9%
Draw
11.4%
Away win
6.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.4% | 8.76 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 6.7% | 14.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 56.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.5% | 13.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Cagliari | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
8.1
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
6.7
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.7
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Cagliari
Dec 2025
Cagliari
1-0
AS Roma
Mar 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Aug 2024
Cagliari
0-0
AS Roma
Feb 2024
AS Roma
4-0
Cagliari
Oct 2023
Cagliari
1-4
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.