Monday 12 December 2016, 22:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
61%
20%
19%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
18.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| AS Roma / AC Milan | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
3.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
8.9
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.6
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
7.3
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
4.1
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
AS Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
3-1
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AC Milan
3-1
AS Roma
Sep 2023
AS Roma
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.