Saturday 26 November 2016, 21:45
Carlo Castellani
Full time
23%
31%
46%
Home win
23.0%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
46.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 23.0% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.7% | 7.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.7% | 17.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Empoli / AC Milan | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.7
|
15.4
|
10.1
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
13.6
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
5.1
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Empoli
0-2
AC Milan
Nov 2024
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Mar 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Jan 2024
Empoli
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2023
AC Milan
0-0
Empoli
Oct 2022
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.