Sunday 20 November 2016, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
51%
26%
23%
Home win
50.7%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
23.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Inter | 23.2% | 4.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.1% | 7.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Inter | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
6.5
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
12.4
|
6.0
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.6
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
AC Milan
1-0
Inter
Nov 2025
Inter
0-1
AC Milan
Feb 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Inter
Sep 2024
Inter
1-2
AC Milan
Apr 2024
AC Milan
1-2
Inter
Sep 2023
Inter
5-1
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.