Sunday 30 October 2016, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
13%
27%
60%
Home win
13.0%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
59.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.8% | 7.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.6% | 18.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| No | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Empoli / AS Roma | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.8
|
18.8
|
14.4
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
11.3
|
7.9
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.0
|
2.9
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Empoli
0-1
AS Roma
Aug 2024
AS Roma
1-2
Empoli
May 2024
Empoli
2-1
AS Roma
Sep 2023
AS Roma
7-0
Empoli
Feb 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Empoli
Sep 2022
Empoli
1-2
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.