Wednesday 26 October 2016, 21:45
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
27%
23%
50%
Home win
26.9%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
50.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / AS Roma | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
6.3
|
6.7
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
10.1
|
9.3
|
6.1
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
6.7
|
6.5
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.1
|
3.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Sassuolo
Oct 2025
Sassuolo
0-1
AS Roma
Mar 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
AS Roma
Mar 2023
AS Roma
3-4
Sassuolo
Nov 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.