Sunday 16 October 2016, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
59%
29%
11%
Home win
59.5%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
11.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Empoli | 11.4% | 8.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.9% | 9.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.7% | 27.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27.1% | 3.68 | — | — |
| No | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Genoa / Empoli | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.1
|
6.7
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
21.8
|
10.5
|
2.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
6.7
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Genoa
1-1
Empoli
Dec 2024
Empoli
1-2
Genoa
Feb 2024
Empoli
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Empoli
Mar 2022
Genoa
0-0
Empoli
Nov 2021
Empoli
2-2
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.