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Sunday 6 November 2016, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
68% 20% 12%
Home win
68.3%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
11.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 68.3% 1.46
Draw 20.1% 4.97
Bologna 11.6% 8.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.14
Over 1.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.4% 4.68
Over 2.5 54.8% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.4% 3.08
Under 3.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.4% 6.10
Under 4.5 83.6% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 88.4% 1.13
AS Roma / Bologna 79.9% 1.25
Draw / Bologna 31.7% 3.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
3.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
11.4
9.6
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
9.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.9
6.8
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.7
3.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.