Saturday 29 October 2016, 19:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
30%
31%
39%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
39.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Bologna / Fiorentina | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
13.1
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
14.2
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
6.5
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bologna
1-2
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
2-2
Bologna
May 2025
Fiorentina
3-2
Bologna
Dec 2024
Bologna
1-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2024
Bologna
2-0
Fiorentina
Nov 2023
Fiorentina
2-1
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.