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Sunday 2 October 2016, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
44% 29% 27%
Home win
44.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
27.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 44.0% 2.28
Draw 28.6% 3.49
Fiorentina 27.4% 3.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.27
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.4% 4.47
Under 3.5 77.6% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.28
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 72.6% 1.38
Torino / Fiorentina 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Fiorentina 56.0% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
8.5
4.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
11.6
13.5
6.6
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.5
8.8
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.9
4.0
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.