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Sunday 25 September 2016, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
Fiorentina
0–0
HT 0–0
AC Milan
56% 26% 18%
Home win
55.7%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
18.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 55.7% 1.79 — —
Draw 25.9% 3.87 — —
AC Milan 18.4% 5.43 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.11 — —
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.39 — —
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.54 — —
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21 — —
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Over 3.5 24.0% 4.17 — —
Under 3.5 76.0% 1.32 — —
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.33 — —
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.6% 2.14 — —
No 53.4% 1.87 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 81.6% 1.23 — —
Fiorentina / AC Milan 74.1% 1.35 — —
Draw / AC Milan 44.3% 2.26 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
6.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
13.0
12.2
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
11.3
9.5
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.2
5.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Fiorentina
L W W D
AC Milan
W L L W W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan Oct 2025 AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina Apr 2025 AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina Oct 2024 Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan Mar 2024 Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan Nov 2023 AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.