Wednesday 26 October 2016, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
76%
16%
8%
Home win
75.9%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
7.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Crotone | 7.7% | 13.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Crotone | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
7.8
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.7
|
8.8
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.0
|
7.1
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.6
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Crotone
0-0
Fiorentina
Jan 2021
Fiorentina
2-1
Crotone
Mar 2018
Fiorentina
2-0
Crotone
Oct 2017
Crotone
2-1
Fiorentina
Mar 2017
Crotone
0-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.