Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
19%
26%
56%
Home win
18.8%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
55.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.4% | 8.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Crotone / Fiorentina | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
12.5
|
11.0
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
12.2
|
9.6
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.0
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Crotone
0-0
Fiorentina
Jan 2021
Fiorentina
2-1
Crotone
Mar 2018
Fiorentina
2-0
Crotone
Oct 2017
Crotone
2-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2016
Fiorentina
1-1
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.