Sunday 12 March 2017, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
68%
17%
15%
Home win
67.5%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
15.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.4% | 5.75 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.4% | 41.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.5% | 10.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Cagliari | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.4
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
8.9
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
7.9
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
5.3
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1-2
Cagliari
Aug 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
May 2024
Cagliari
2-3
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.