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Monday 27 February 2017, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
2–2
HT 2–0
53% 21% 26%
Home win
52.6%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
26.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 52.6% 1.90
Draw 20.9% 4.79
Torino 26.5% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.5% 39.94
Over 1.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.6% 10.44
Over 2.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.5% 3.92
Over 3.5 54.4% 1.84
Under 3.5 45.6% 2.19
Over 4.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 4.5 65.1% 1.54

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 72.2% 1.39
No 27.8% 3.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 73.5% 1.36
Fiorentina / Torino 79.1% 1.26
Draw / Torino 47.4% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.5
2.8
2.6
1.4
0.6
0.2
1
4.2
8.0
6.0
3.2
1.3
0.4
2
5.3
8.6
6.9
3.7
1.5
0.5
3
4.1
6.5
5.2
2.8
1.1
0.4
4
2.3
3.7
3.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
5
1.1
1.7
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.