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Sunday 19 February 2017, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
4–1
HT 2–0
67% 19% 14%
Home win
66.9%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
14.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 66.9% 1.49
Draw 18.6% 5.38
Torino 14.5% 6.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.14
Over 1.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.9% 7.74
Over 2.5 68.3% 1.47
Under 2.5 31.7% 3.15
Over 3.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 3.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 4.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 4.5 72.2% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 85.5% 1.17
AS Roma / Torino 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Torino 33.1% 3.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
2.7
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
6.8
8.3
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
9.5
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
7.2
7.7
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
4.4
4.7
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.1
5
2.2
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.