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Sunday 12 February 2017, 13:30 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
12% 21% 67%
Home win
12.1%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
67.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 12.1% 8.26
Draw 20.5% 4.87
AS Roma 67.4% 1.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.84
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.62
Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.0% 3.12
Under 3.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.1% 6.22
Under 4.5 83.9% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.10
No 52.5% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 32.6% 3.06
Crotone / AS Roma 79.5% 1.26
Draw / AS Roma 87.9% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
11.5
12.5
8.7
4.5
1.9
1
3.9
9.8
9.6
6.7
3.5
1.5
2
1.7
3.6
3.7
2.6
1.3
0.6
3
0.4
0.9
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.