Sunday 8 January 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
24%
27%
49%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
48.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.0% | 8.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Genoa / AS Roma | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
11.0
|
9.1
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.8
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
6.2
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.1
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Genoa
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Jan 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
1-1
AS Roma
May 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
4-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.