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Thursday 22 December 2016, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
61% 25% 15%
Home win
60.6%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
14.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 60.6% 1.65
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Chievo 14.6% 6.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.47
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.36
Over 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.5% 4.44
Under 3.5 77.5% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.18
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 85.4% 1.17
AS Roma / Chievo 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Chievo 39.4% 2.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
5.7
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
14.5
11.5
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.0
9.2
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
7.4
5.3
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.