Monday 5 December 2016, 20:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
38%
32%
30%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Genoa | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.7% | 17.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Chievo / Genoa | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.8
|
11.5
|
5.9
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
14.3
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
7.4
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
Sep 2018
Genoa
2-0
Chievo
Feb 2018
Chievo
0-1
Genoa
Sep 2017
Genoa
1-1
Chievo
Apr 2017
Genoa
1-2
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.