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Sunday 30 October 2016, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
23% 28% 49%
Home win
23.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
49.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 23.4% 4.27
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Chievo 49.0% 2.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.65
Over 1.5 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Under 2.5 55.7% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.1% 4.32
Under 3.5 76.9% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.81
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.06
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 51.0% 1.96
Crotone / Chievo 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Chievo 76.6% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
12.2
9.6
4.8
1.8
0.5
1
7.5
13.1
9.2
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
3.9
5.9
4.4
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.