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Sunday 17 December 2017, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
32% 30% 37%
Home win
32.3%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
37.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 32.3% 3.10
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Chievo 37.5% 2.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.87
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.71
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 62.5% 1.60
Crotone / Chievo 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Chievo 67.7% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
11.6
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
10.5
14.1
7.8
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.1
7.2
4.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.2
2.6
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.