Saturday 25 November 2017, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
45%
29%
26%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
25.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Spal | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.8% | 9.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.3% | 12.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Chievo / Spal | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.8
|
8.8
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
13.6
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.7
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.