Sunday 5 November 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
66%
22%
12%
Home win
66.5%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
11.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Spal | 11.9% | 8.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Spal | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
10.2
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.4
|
9.4
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Atalanta
1-2
Spal
Aug 2019
Spal
2-3
Atalanta
Feb 2019
Atalanta
2-1
Spal
Sep 2018
Spal
2-0
Atalanta
Apr 2018
Spal
1-1
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.