Saturday 7 April 2018, 19:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
21%
26%
53%
Home win
20.6%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
53.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.2% | 8.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Spal / Atalanta | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
12.2
|
10.4
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
5.4
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Atalanta
1-2
Spal
Aug 2019
Spal
2-3
Atalanta
Feb 2019
Atalanta
2-1
Spal
Sep 2018
Spal
2-0
Atalanta
Nov 2017
Atalanta
1-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.