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Sunday 25 February 2018, 13:30 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
2–3
HT 0–1
41% 30% 29%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
29.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 40.8% 2.45
Draw 30.0% 3.33
Spal 29.2% 3.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.92
Over 1.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.19
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.62
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.2% 2.16
No 53.8% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 70.8% 1.41
Crotone / Spal 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Spal 59.2% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
9.8
5.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
12.2
14.0
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.1
8.2
4.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.4
3.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Spal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.