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Saturday 3 February 2018, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
72% 19% 9%
Home win
71.7%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
9.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 71.7% 1.39
Draw 19.2% 5.22
Crotone 9.1% 10.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.52
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.27
Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.1% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.7% 3.36
Under 3.5 70.3% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.90
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41
No 58.5% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 90.9% 1.10
Inter / Crotone 80.8% 1.24
Draw / Crotone 28.3% 3.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
13.1
9.0
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.2
6.4
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.4
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.