Sunday 28 January 2018, 13:30
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
17%
23%
60%
Home win
17.4%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
59.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Inter | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.7% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Spal / Inter | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
10.1
|
10.4
|
6.7
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
10.9
|
9.9
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
4.9
|
4.7
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
0-4
Inter
Dec 2019
Inter
2-1
Spal
Mar 2019
Inter
2-0
Spal
Oct 2018
Spal
1-2
Inter
Sep 2017
Inter
2-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.