Sunday 7 October 2018, 21:30
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
19%
27%
54%
Home win
19.1%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
53.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 19.1% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Inter | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Spal / Inter | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
13.7
|
11.2
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.6
|
9.2
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
4.9
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
0-4
Inter
Dec 2019
Inter
2-1
Spal
Mar 2019
Inter
2-0
Spal
Jan 2018
Spal
1-1
Inter
Sep 2017
Inter
2-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.