Thursday 27 September 2018, 20:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
30.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Spal / Sassuolo | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
9.0
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
13.7
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
8.5
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Spal
1-2
Sassuolo
Sep 2019
Sassuolo
3-0
Spal
Feb 2019
Sassuolo
1-1
Spal
Mar 2018
Sassuolo
1-1
Spal
Oct 2017
Spal
0-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.